Ice

[A_Outdoorsman]

anyone predict when ice will hit safe enough to fish on, i cannot wait i want to ice fish so bad!!

[SleePac]

http://http://www.michigan-sportsman.com/forum/showthread.php?t=150475

[ifish4eyes]

AccuWeather.com 2006-07 Winter ForecastUpdated: Wednesday, October 18, 2006 2:01 PM


El Niño To Have an Effect, But How Much?

AccuWeather.com Chief Long-Range Forecaster Joe buggeri believes that the current El Niño pattern will be one of the factors that determines the nature of the coming winter, but that the government's weather service is overplaying its effects. Unlike the National Weather Service forecast, buggeri does not see this winter being warmer than normal across the vast majority of the country. Overall, the AccuWeather.com Winter 2006-2007 Forecast calls for a cooler-than-normal winter along the East Coast and eastern Gulf Coast, and a warmer-than-normal winter from the western Great Lakes to the Pacific Northwest.

An El Niño - a cyclical occurrence of warmer-than-normal Pacific waters - can have repercussions on worldwide weather patterns, particularly a strong El Niño, which features water temperatures that are significantly warmer over a broad expanse of tropical ocean. However, buggeri's research points to an El Niño that will remain at its current weak to moderate level, and may even weaken as the winter progresses. Because of this, a "typical" El Niño winter - such as the one predicted by the National Weather Service last week - that features warmer-than-normal temperatures across much of the U.S. is not as likely to occur.

"We predict that the current El Niño will not be only determinant of this year's winter weather," said buggeri. "This year's winter will hinge on the timing and interaction of complex meteorological factors that would be overridden by a stronger El Niño that others seem to be expecting."

One of these factors that buggeri and his team expect to shape the upcoming season is the formation of a high pressure area over Greenland or northeastern Canada. This would force Arctic air down into the Northeast. If this occurs as expected, the Northeast could experience severe, prolonged cold - ten days or more of temperatures averaging five to ten degrees below normal - during the middle to late winter, most likely during the month of January.

"Signs are pointing to the possibility of a rough conclusion to winter for the Northeast," said AccuWeather.com Director of Forecast Operations Ken Reeves. "Examining past years where we see similar patterns to what we expect this winter bears this out. For example, the winter of 1992-1993 was moderate until early February, when it then became colder and snowier, and culminated with a harsh blizzard on March 13. Another of the winters we see a parallel to is 1957-1958, which again began more moderately, and concluded with significantly colder temperatures and major February and March snow storms."

buggeri sums up his expectations for the upcoming December-to-February period this way: "The eastern U.S. will experience a colder-than-normal winter overall. The area from the eastern and central Great Lakes to the south-central and southwestern U.S. will experience near-normal winter temperatures. The region that stretches from the western Great Lakes to the Pacific Northwest will likely see above-normal temperatures."

buggeri forecasts a wetter-than-average swath from southern and central California to the southern Plains and Southeast and up the East Coast, because an expected active subtropical jet stream will send storms on a track across the southern U.S. and likely ensure wet weather in the southern tier of the nation. How this moisture times itself with the arrival of colder air will determine how much snow the Northeast can expect, but winter is likely to be snowier than normal in the region - a mainstay of all winters since 2002. Very warm water relative to normal off all coasts provides ample moisture for any storm and, timed with cold air, would lend itself to heavy snowfall in the higher elevations of the Southwest and Southeast, and also the chance for some major coastal storms on the East Coast.

The pattern AccuWeather.com forecasts for the winter could lead to a significant problem next summer: the increased threat of wildfires. "The wetter pattern across the southern half of California and into the Southwest may spell yet another bad season for wildfires next year," said Reeves, "as the vegetation that flourishes this rainy season dies next year under the intense summer sun."




http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=accuweather&traveler=1&article=9

[ifish4eyes]

DATE: August 26, 2006

For Immediate Release

Contact: Peter Geiger, Philom., Editor 207-755-2246 • pgeiger@farmersalmanac.com
Sandi Duncan, Philom., Managing Editor, 908-689-0960 • sduncan@farmersalmanac.com



Tired of the Heat? Hang on – 2007 Farmers’ Almanac™ Predicts “SHIVERY IS NOT DEAD”

Lewiston, ME: After a brutally hot summer in most of the country, cool news is on the way. The new edition of the Farmers’ Almanac, which blows into town every year around the end of August, contains some chilly predictions for the upcoming winter.

"Shivery is not dead” reveals the 2007 Farmers’ Almanac, alluding to its winter weather forecast. “While global warming has taken up much of our attention (as well as news coverage), our winter predictions are pointing towards widespread cold from coast to coast, especially for the western sections of the country,” shares Peter Geiger, Philom., Editor. Geiger continues, “The cold may not be as frigid as 30 or 40 years ago, but we do expect this to be the coldest winter we’ve seen for quite a few years.” And, after last year’s unusual warmth, this chill might make winter harder than usual.


The 2007 Farmers’ Almanac, released August 28, 2006, predicts the frigid temperatures, as much as 20 degrees below seasonal norms (and nearly 40 degrees colder than last winter), for Montana, the Dakotas and parts of Wyoming. For the Gulf Coast up through New England, unseasonably cold, or “shivery,” conditions are expected.


Snow, and lots of it, is also forecast for the nation’s midsection, parts of New England, and the mountains of the Pacific Northwest. “The Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley may be the only area spared the extreme cold,” reveals Sandi Duncan, Philom., Managing Editor, “but this is not to say this area won’t be without its cold spells and significant snowfalls.”


The Farmers’ Almanac, which has been providing long-range weather predictions every year since 1818, bases its forecasts on a top secret mathematical and astronomical formula. Many who follow its predictions say they are 80 to 85% accurate. Last winter, the Farmers’ Almanac had forewarned of a “polar coaster” winter, with lots of fluctuations on the thermometer. While the winter warmth and lack of snow in many areas made headlines, the 2007 Farmers’ Almanac uses New York City as an example of its polar coaster prediction’s accuracy


According to the Farmers’ Almanac, “The [New York] city experienced one of its driest and mildest winters in recent years, yet it also received more than 40 inches of snow. This was the fourth consecutive year that a snowfall total of at least 40 inches was recorded.”


If you don’t like the shivery forecast, hang on. The 2007 Farmers’ Almanac, which includes 16 months (September 2006 through December 2007) of zoned weather predictions, is also calling for a very warm and dry summer for most areas of the country.


In addition to predicting the weather, the 2007 Farmers’ Almanac provides unique advice, witty wisdom, and informative articles on ways to slow down and enjoy the simple pleasures in life. “Gardening calendars, fishing information, astronomical times, recipes and more are also an integral part of the Farmers’ Almanac,” states Geiger. In the all-new 2007 Farmers’ Almanac, you can learn how to use Jell-O to cure smelly feet, discover what turducken is and why you might want to serve it at your next holiday dinner, learn why you should fill your gas tank in the morning rather than the afternoon, find out if cold weather really does cause colds, and pick up tips on driving in foul weather, ideas on how to protect your pets from weather’s extremes, and much more.


This year’s Farmers’ Almanac is propounding a way to capture the maximum amount of daylight without causing more morning darkness. Daylight saving time is being expanded in 2007, but just how much daylight are we really saving? The Farmers’ Almanac looks at the pros and cons of daylight saving time and proposes its own, better plan to utilize DST to its fullest.

Available at www.FarmersAlmanac.com, and at grocery and bookstores everywhere, starting August 28, 2006, the 2007 Farmers’ Almanac contains page after page of valuable, informative and fun tips, secrets, ideas, and articles. “It contains something for everyone – young and old, city or farm folk; it is a must-read,” says Geiger.


About the Farmers’ Almanac:

The Farmers’ Almanac, which features an orange and green cover, has been published every year since 1818. It not only contains useful and interesting articles but also long-range weather predictions, gardening advice, recipes, and more. Editors Peter Geiger and Sandi Duncan are available for lively and informative interviews by phone or in person. They love to talk about the weather, share some useful Almanac trivia and advice, and discuss the latest movement sweeping across North America, “getting back to the simple life.”


The Farmers' Almanac is such an important part of American life that is has inspired the creation of a new television program, now airing on public television stations throughout the United States. “Farmers' Almanac TV”™, a new 30-minute magazine-style series, brings to life stories celebrating the good life of both rural and urban America, with segments in over a dozen lifestyle categories, including gardening, cooking, wellness, weather, and household hints. More information on the series can be found by visiting www.FarmersAlmanacTV.com

Farmers’ Almanac and Farmers’ Almanac TV trademarks are licensed from Almanac Publishing Company.




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[RichP]

Results from Magic 8-Ball query regarding availability of safe ice in Kawkawlin area on December 9th: it is decidedly so

[Gone Fishing]

Results from Magic 8-Ball query regarding availability of safe ice in Kawkawlin area on December 9th: it is decidedly so
I'll put my money on that December 9th I'll be running the boat on LSC to Canada! :p

[RichP]

I'll put my money on that December 9th I'll be running the boat on LSC to Canada! :p

Well, then I'll just have to hope that you're "boat" is actually a hovercraft. :D

[initforfun]

I don't see it but let's hope..Chomping at the bit!!:dizzy: